West Virginia vs Iowa State 11/24/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with West Virginia winning 58% of simulations, and Iowa State 42% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. West Virginia commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 72% when they take care of the ball. Iowa State wins 55% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Geno Smith is averaging 293 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40% chance) then he helps his team win 75%. Steele Jantz is averaging 299 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IAST +1
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